Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are locked successful a dormant heat successful Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while nan Democratic nominee holds a five-point lead among apt voters successful Michigan, according to a study of nan swing states released Thursday.
The Marist Institute for Public Opinion canvass showed Trump and Harris tied 49%-49% successful nan Keystone State, thought by galore observers to clasp nan cardinal to nan White House this cycle.
“Pennsylvania is attracting the most attraction of the Rust Belt states from nan statesmanlike candidates — and pinch bully reason,” said Marist Institute Director Lee Miringoff.
“It’s nan biggest prize successful nan region [with 19 electoral votes] and nan astir competitive,” he added.
“Winning Pennsylvania doesn’t guarantee nan White House but it goes a long way.”
The study recovered Pennsylvania women favored Harris by 12 points (55%-43%) while men backed Trump by 10 (54%-44%).
Trump, 78, only led Harris by 3 points (51%-48%) among achromatic apt voters, while Harris, 59, led nan Republican by 21 (59%-38%) among non-white voters, acold short of nan 82% support among nan demographic that President Biden received successful 2020.
One-third of apt Pennsylvania voters said ostentation was nan astir important rumor successful this election, followed by “preserving democracy” (27%), migration (15%), and abortion (11%), pinch nary different rumor topping double-digits.
In Wisconsin, Harris led Trump 50%-49% among apt voters, acknowledgment successful portion to different double-digit gender gap.
Badger State women said they supported Harris to nan tune of 56%-43%, while men collapsed for Trump by conscionable 8 percent points (53%-45%).
The Marist Institute for Public Opinion canvass reveals erstwhile President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are locked successful a dormant power successful Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Stephen nan for nan New York PostAs successful Pennsylvania, Harris came up good short of matching Biden’s 2020 numbers among voters of color, receiving conscionable 56% support successful nan demographic compared to her boss’s 73% 4 years ago.
Among Wisconsin voters, ostentation was nan apical rumor for 32%, followed by populist (27%), ostentation (17%) and abortion (10%), almost precisely mirroring nan numbers successful Pennsylvania.
In Michigan, Harris performed overmuch amended among non-white voters, starring Trump 77%-21% successful nan demographic — though erstwhile again failing to lucifer Biden’s 92% capacity successful nan 2020 election.
The Wolverine State besides saw a double-digit gender spread successful support, pinch Harris starring Trump by 15 among women (56%-41%) while nan erstwhile president only led nan veep by 5 among men (52%-47%)
According to a study of nan plaything states released Thursday, Kamala Harris holds a five-point lead among apt voters successful Michigan. AP“Of nan 3 alleged ‘blue wall’ states, Michigan is nan 1 wherever location is simply a quality betwixt Harris and Trump,” Miringoff said.
“The Michigan ballot is being driven by Trump’s precocious negatives, wherever [vice statesmanlike nominee JD] Vance surely is providing nary thief for nan GOP ticket,” he added.
In Michigan, dissimilar nan different 2 states, preserving populist was nan apical rumor for a plurality (30%) of apt voters, followed by ostentation (29%), migration (15%) and abortion (10%)
In 2016, Trump became nan first Republican to expanse each 3 states since Ronald Reagan successful 1984, only for Biden to reconstruct nan Rust Belt trio to nan Democratic file successful 2020.
The Marist Poll surveyed 1,138 Michigan apt voters; 1,476 Pennsylvania apt voters; 1,194 Wisconsin apt voters Sept. 12-17.
The margins of correction successful each canvass are plus-or-minus 3.4% successful Michigan, 3.2% successful Pennsylvania, and 3.6% successful Wisconsin
Copyright © PAPAREAD.COM 2024
