REVEALED: Manchester United's chances of making the Champions League last-16 as Erik ten Hag's side prepare for daunting Galatasaray trip... and do they have more hope than Newcastle?

Manchester United person conscionable a one-in-three chance of making it done to nan Champions League knockouts - but are assessed arsenic having amended prospects than Newcastle.

Erik 10 Hag's broadside are presently bottommost of Group A and must triumph a daunting distant fixture pinch Turkish nine Galatasaray connected Wednesday nighttime to support live their last-16 chances.

According to Nielsen Gracenote's Euro Club Index, United person conscionable a 33 per cent chance of taking 2nd spot down Bayern Munich from present and playing successful Europe's starring title aft Christmas.

It doesn't thief that United, who person mislaid 3 of their 4 matches truthful far, person to play table-toppers Bayern connected matchday six successful what could yet beryllium a must-win game.

Gracenote rank Galatasaray arsenic having a somewhat amended 37 per cent chance of making nan last-16, while Copenhagen, who are presently 2nd successful nan table, are fixed conscionable a 30 per cent probability.

Newcastle besides find themselves bottommost of a overmuch tougher group up of Tuesday night's distant crippled pinch Paris Saint-Germain.

But pinch 4 points to their credit, Eddie Howe's squad are conscionable 3 points down group leaders Borussia Dortmund.

However, they're not fancied to advancement by Gracenote, who springiness nan Toon a meagre 23 per cent chance of making nan knockout rounds.

Dortmund (74 per cent), PSG (70 per cent) and AC Milan (33 per cent) are each calculated to person amended prospects than Newcastle, who will person to propulsion disconnected thing unexpected.

Manchester United are fixed a 34.4 per cent chance of finishing 3rd and dropping into nan Europa League, while Newcastle are rated astatine 26.2 per cent to do likewise.

With 2 rounds of group shape fixtures to play, only Manchester City, Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, Inter Milan, RB Leipzig and Real Sociedad are definite of a last-16 spot.

Five much clubs - Arsenal, Barcelona, Napoli, Atletico Madrid and Porto - are assessed arsenic having a greater than 90 per cent chance of making it through.

Celtic, bottommost of their group pinch conscionable 1 constituent from a imaginable 12, are successful nan miracles required shape pinch a 2 per cent chance of getting through.

There is improbable to beryllium immoderate Europa League salvation for nan Bhoys, either, pinch Gracenote putting a third-place decorativeness astatine conscionable 3.2 per cent up of Tuesday's distant crippled pinch Lazio.

Defending champions Manchester City are fixed nan highest probability of winning it again connected 29 per cent.

Real Madrid are 2nd favourites connected 19 per cent and Bayern Munich 3rd connected 14 per cent. Arsenal travel successful connected 7 per cent, according to nan Gracenote index.