Planned Parenthood to blitz GOP seats to sway California's voters

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What polling says astir abortion, 2024 title

What PapaRead News polling says astir abortion and nan 2024 race 05:02

Planned Parenthood is preparing a seven-figure campaign blitz to oust GOP incumbents from California legislature seats, portion of a larger nationalist effort by nan reproductive rights group to forestall a Republican mostly from passing abortion restrictions, including a nationalist ban.

Planned Parenthood Affiliates of California is targeting eight districts wherever voters mostly backed Republicans successful 2022 moreover arsenic they endorsed a constitutional amendment enshrining entree to abortion and contraceptives. The advertizing scheme goes antagonistic by focusing connected each incumbent's grounds of voting against entree to abortion and contraceptives. In nan past, nan group riffed connected nan "Burn Book" from nan 2004 drama "Mean Girls."

GOP statement officials said they were assured voters successful those districts would look astatine nan bigger image and return Republicans to office. And 1 incumbent dismissed nan conception that there's a threat to reproductive attraction successful nan Golden State.

"Access to abortion and different reproductive attraction aren't going anyplace successful California," said Calvin Moore, a spokesperson for Rep. Ken Calvert of Riverside County. "Congressman Calvert believes this is simply a profoundly individual rumor that should beryllium near up to nan states and opposes a nationalist abortion ban."

With 52 seats, wide California could extremity nan scales for power of nan U.S. House this fall. But Planned Parenthood has its activity trim retired for it since 7 of nan seats it is targeting are presently held by Republicans and only 1 — to beryllium vacated by Democrat Katie Porter aft an unsuccessful bid for U.S. Senate — is open.

According to The Cook Political Report, 4 are toss-up races; Rep. Michelle Steel's district, mostly successful Orange County, leans Republican; and Reps. Kevin Kiley, who represents a territory on California's eastbound border, and Young Kim, who represents a territory eastbound of Anaheim, are apt to win.

Abortion has proved to beryllium a bigger rumor for galore voters than governmental analysts whitethorn person anticipated. "In galore of these seats, I deliberation voters attraction astir their reproductive freedoms and they resonate pinch our message, truthful we deliberation we're going to win," said Jodi Hicks, CEO and president of Planned Parenthood Affiliates of California.

While Planned Parenthood is focused connected House races, Hicks said it is besides monitoring neighboring states. One California branch, Planned Parenthood Mar Monte, stretches into Reno, Nevada, and its defense limb has been supporting a Nevada ballot initiative that would constitutionally protect Nevadans' correct to abortion.

Nationally, nan group plans to walk $40 cardinal successful astatine slightest 8 states: Arizona, Georgia, Montana, New Hampshire, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

In California, Planned Parenthood intends to item nan grounds of members of Congress for illustration Kiley, who voted to potentially enforce situation sentences on doctors who supply abortions. Calvert, Kim, Steel and Reps. Mike Garcia, of bluish Los Angeles County, and David Valadao, of nan Central Valley, voted against entree to commencement control. And Garcia, Valadao and Steel co-sponsored a bill to efficaciously prohibition abortions nationwide.

Assembly Republican leader James Gallagher, who is connected nan California Republican Party board, said galore Californians don't spot Democrats to protect their wellness attraction authorities moreover if governmental leaders support abortion being legal, pointing retired that nether Democrats maternity wards person closed and hospitals person filed for bankruptcy.

"Democrats don't really person a awesome grounds successful California correct now connected women's wellness attraction issues," Gallagher said. "So I deliberation it conscionable rings a small spot hollow."

According to a February KFF poll connected abortion arsenic a 2024 predetermination issue, astir half of Republican voters who support it being ineligible spot their ain statement much connected nan issue, while 8% spot nan Democratic Party more. One successful 3 said they don't spot either governmental statement connected nan issue.

Ivy Cargile, an subordinate professor of governmental subject astatine California State University, Bakersfield, said it whitethorn beryllium tricky to galvanize voters connected nan rumor since galore Californians are assured their reproductive authorities are protected successful nan deep-blue state. "Voters mightiness beryllium reasoning that California is truthful progressive, truthful reproductive authorities are safe," Cargile said. "But national rule does trump authorities law."

Planned Parenthood will impressment upon Central Valley and Southern California voters that remaining loyal to Republicans risks a nationalist abortion ban. A ample portion of its advertizing run will attraction connected connecting nan dots for voters, arguing support for reproductive authorities requires voting for Democratic candidates.

"California is truthful pivotal to guarantee that we're winning astatine nan nationalist level," Hicks said.

Gallagher said nan GOP's attraction connected ostentation and nationalist information will resonate pinch voters successful California's much blimpish districts. He and Calvert foretell nan races will reflector what happened successful 2022: Though voters backed nan law amendment for reproductive rights, they supported incumbent Republicans, moreover those who were anti-abortion.

KFF Health News said to six voters successful Garcia's territory who opportunity they support entree to abortion but typically ballot for Republican candidates. All six planned to ballot for Garcia's reelection.

Rose Large of Santa Clarita said that while she supports abortion rights, she has deeper concerns pinch Democratic Party activity connected issues specified arsenic nan system and separator control. Others mentioned fears of rising crime and wanting to protect Second Amendment rights.

Asked if she believed Planned Parenthood's run would sway her aliases voters successful her neighborhood, Large replied, "Personally, I don't. No."

This article was produced by KFF Health News, a nationalist newsroom that produces in-depth publicity astir wellness issues and is 1 of nan halfway operating programs astatine KFF — nan independent root for wellness argumentation research, polling, and journalism. KFF Health News is nan patient of California Healthline, an editorially independent work of nan California Health Care Foundation.

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  • Republican Party
  • Abortion
  • California
  • Planned Parenthood


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